Pinjarra 06/02/2022

Conditions

Rail – True
Track – Good 4
Forecast – Max 28 degrees, partly cloudy

Race 1 – TABtouch Pinjarra Cup & Fashions On The Field Sunday April 3 Maiden – 1000m – 1:25pm

10 – Balamani
3 – Nitro Fred
6 – Country Lad
7 – Bayzel 

Comment: Balamani looks to be in for a good preparation after winning first up. She had a few excuses at her first ever start, which was on a soft track, so hopefully, she can go better here.  Nitro Fred goes well fresh and looks ready to put in a good performance here after placing third in his trial. He’s place at this distance (1:0-1-0) and from the wide barrier, I suspect he’ll go forward again and give them something to run down. Country Lad has only had the one career trial where he finished second. He only has to carry 56kg here with Keshaw’s claim and he could surprise at decent odds. Bayzel just seems to get back in her runs and is yet to record a win in 20 starts (20:0-2-4). She hasn’t finished that far off the winner, but her distance record is concerning (10:0-0-1). I’m surprised to see her open that short.

Race 2 – Westspeed Platinum Handicap – 1300m – 2:04pm

3 – Tradem’ In
13 – Sea Waif
5 – Pro Is Here
4 – Halatorion

Comment: Tradem’ In placed fourth in listed grade last preparation. He goes well first up (2:1-0-1) and I thought 1300m would be too short, but he’s actually unbeaten at this distance (1:1-0-0). He’s one to watch. Sea Waif is knocking on the door for a win. The track/distance look to suit (5:2-1-0), with the only concern being the step up in distance. Happy to take her on at $16. Pro Is Here was his own worst enemy last start after racing keenly. Natasha jumps back on board here and she knows how to ride this horse. He’s unbeaten at this distance (1:1-0-0), so look for him to bounce back here.  Halatorion has been racing consistently this preparation. Stepping up in distance looks to suit him here, with nothing much to complain about.

Race 3 – Neometals All The Right Elements Handicap – 2000m – 2:35pm

1 – Chiclett
5 – Off Wego
7 – Hoist The Colours
9 – Watch Me Ney Ney

Comment: Chiclett is looking to make it 3 wins in a row here. She steps up to 2000m for the first time, but given her racing pattern, this could suit her. Off Wego finished second to Chiclett last start and gets 2.5kg on her here. He races over 2000m for the first time too and I just worry how far back he’ll get from barrier 12, as he isn’t known for his turn of foot. Not without his chances though. Hoist The Colours is looking to make it 4 wins in a row, and he is unbeaten at this track/distance (1:1-0-0). Class and the form surrounding his races is the only thing getting in his way. Watch Me Ney Ney has been racing well in the city and can run on to some extent. He’s also unbeaten at this track/distance (1:1-0-0). He should be hitting his peak right about now.

Race 4 – TABtouch – Better Your Bet Handicap – 2000m – 3:15pm

2 – Unreliable
9 – Prized Miss
6 – Our Norman
11 – Sembello

Comment: Unreliable looked to have desperately needed the run first up, going into that race without a trial. There wasn’t anything written in the stewards’ report to explain the poor performance and he doesn’t usually do much better second up (3:0-0-0). What I do love those is that he’s unbeaten at this track/distance (2:2-0-0) and he only has to carry 58kg with Kristy’s claim. He looks to be a value bet. Prized Miss is hit and miss but she did win at Pinjarra two starts ago. She steps up to 2000m for the first time, but it looks like it should suit her. She’s a safer bet than my top tip. Our Norman bounced back last start, winning at Ascot. From barrier 11, he’ll have to use some energy early on to get to the front, but he’ll give them something to run down. Sembello is up in class here but does have a good track/distance record (2:1-1-0). If she jumps well, she’ll be at the front which is where she does her best work. Another value chance in this incredibly open race.

Race 5 – Bunbury Apartment Motel Handicap – 1000m – 3:45pm

14 – Via Monte
8 – Sockoff
2 – Material Witness
1 – Mantelli

Comment: Via Monte finished second behind Spin The Knife last start, which looks like good form to follow. He seems to really be finding his stride, but I do worry about where he’ll end up from barrier 13. Sockoff is looking to make it 3 wins in a row. Her form isn’t as strong as my top tip, but she has an amazing track/distance record (3:2-1-0) and she only has to carry 54kg with Holly’s claim. She can easily win this. Material Witness has had a gap between runs after being disappointing last start. He was racing really consistently last preparation and he’s unbeaten at this track/distance. He can bounce back here. Mantelli has to consistency, but conditions are against him here. He has placed at this track/distance (1:0-1-0) and he only has to carry 58.5kg with Jett’s claim, but barrier 18 looks to cause him a world of pain. He could surprise though.

Race 6 – Thoroughbred Breeders WA Pearl Classic – 1300m – 4:15pm

6 – Miss Vasari
12 – Karli’s Karma
2 – I’m Pretty
4 – Wine Night        

Comment: Miss Vasari officially races at 1300m for the first time, but her record over 1200-1400m suggests that she should handle it. She perhaps could have won last start if she didn’t get blocked early in the straight. The form surrounding her races is some of the best and I’m hoping that holds up here. Karli’s Karma is up in class here, but she showed a great turn of foot last start. She’s unbeaten at this track/distance (1:1-0-0), so I wouldn’t rule her out. I’m Pretty can be hit and miss, and she does need things to go her way. She has a good track/distance record without winning (3:0-2-1) and she’s down in class. If she gets an ideal run, she can go close. Wine Night lost by the narrowest of margins that it actually shows that she ran the same time as the winner Express Time. She’s up in class, so does drop 2.5kg off last start’s run. Her distance record doesn’t fill me with a lot of confidence (2:0-0-0), but she can surprise.

Race 7 – Magic Millions WA 3yo Trophy – 1200m – 4:45pm

1 – Spin The Knife
2 – Red Fifty Three
11 – Champagne Dame
8 – Heavenly Waters

Comment: Spin The Knife is a classy horse and isn’t penalised too much in the weights here. If I was going to be picky, the 1200m may leave him a touch vulnerable (1:0-0-0) and I don’t like it when horses open that short. He has ability though and should get a lovely run from barrier 4. Red Fifty Three doesn’t know what it’s like to lose, as he’s unbeaten at all 3 career starts, including 2 starts at this distance. He’ll have to use some energy from barrier 11 to get a forward position, but he can win this. Champagne Dame has had two trials leading into this race and goes well fresh. She placed third in the group 3 Champion Fillies last preparation, so has great form surrounding her races. She’ll also be looking to go forward and while she might be wanting further, she can surprise here. Heavenly Waters was disappointing last start, with only minor excuses in the stewards’ report. She’s only placed at this distance once in 5 starts, but it was at this track. If experience counts for anything, she’ll be running a good race, but with a lot of speed in this race, I hope they don’t burn each other out early.

Race 8 – Magic Millions WA 2yo Classic – 1200m – 5:15pm

8 – Sheeza Belter
2 – Street Parade
9 – She’s Greysful
12 – Celebrity Icon

Comment: Sheeza Belter finished second in a key lead up race behind She’s Greyful. She looks to have ability, but the only concern is where she’ll settle from barrier 15. Street Parade finished third behind She’s Greyful last start and is also yet to finish outside of the top 3. He showed a great turn of foot last start and that should help him to offset barrier 12, as we saw last start. He can easily win this. She’s Greysful beat a few of these horses last start as I previously mentioned. She won in a convincing fashion and definitely improved with one run under her belt. I’m curious to see whether she can put in a repeat performance here. Celebrity Icon placed second at her first start. She brings different form lines to this race but can very well improve with one run under her belt.

Race 9 – Geisel Park Mile – 1600m – 5:50pm

6 – Beret
3 – The Spruiker
7 – Proconsent
10 – Solaia

Comment: Beret is absolutely flying at the moment! She won over this distance two starts ago in a listed race, but she is yet to place at Pinjarra (2:0-0-0). That is the only thing that leaves her vulnerable here. The Spruiker has just been finding one better lately, but the form surrounding those races is good. He’s unbeaten at this distance (1:1-0-0) and should get an ideal run from barrier 6. There’s no reason why he can’t win this. Proconsent beat The Spruiker last start and has to give him 1.5kg, which may help turn the tables given the small margin. He’s proven at this track (4:2-1-0) and distance (4:1-2-0) but hasn’t faced these two conditions together. He’s racing consistently and I can’t see that changing here. Solaia just hasn’t had a lot of luck lately. She brings form behind Beret and Proconsent, so she’s not out of place here. She’s drawn well in barrier 3 but will need to bring her best here.

Race 10 – Darling View Thoroughbreds Remembering I’m All The Talk Handicap – 1200m – 6:20pm

2 – Son Son
7 – Comes A Time
1 – Clairvoyance
3 – Platinum Bullet

Comment: Son Son has been the bridesmaid at his past two starts. He’s yet to finish outside of the top two this preparation and he’s proven at this distance (4:2-2-0). Conditions look so he should run a good race. Comes A Time looks to be ready to continue where he left off last preparation. His second up record (4:0-1-2) isn’t as strong as his first up record, but it’s still good, as is his distance record (9:1-0-5). He never finishes that far off the winner and if he’s not winning, that should be the case again here. Clairvoyance did get bumped at a critical stage last start and raced wide, but I still would have liked her to finish a little bit more strongly. She drops down in class here, but only has to carry 57kg with Holly’s claim. We also go back to the proven winkers instead of blinkers. If she brings her best, she’ll win this, but her last start makes me a bit nervous on whether her injuries have taken more out of her than we thought. Platinum Bullet is coming off a good win where she improved out of sight. She may have appreciated the spacing between her runs, which she gets again here. The only concern is that she has drawn a touch wide.

Best Bet

Race 3 – Chiclett

Quaddie

R7: 1, 2, 3, 8, 11
R8: 1, 2, 8, 9, 10, 12
R9: 1, 3, 6, 7, 9, 10
R10: 1, 2, 3, 7, 11

Confidence rating

There wasn’t one race this week where I didn’t have my top 4 tips in my suggested bet, so I didn’t think there was any point doing it this week. Races 1 and 4 look to be particularly nasty. Whether it’s just because the races are super even or because I don’t know the Pinjarra form as well as the city, I’m not sure, but it made it a tough tipping day! I would really just avoid the quaddie too.

Last Week’s Results

R1: boxed trifecta
R5: quinella
R7: quinella
R9: exact
Winners in top 4: 7/9
Top picks: 2nd, 1st, -, 3rd, 2nd, 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 1st
Best bet: 1st
Quaddie: No
Profit: +1.5 ($1ew on top tips & $2ew on bb)