Horse Racing,  Tipping

Belmont 30/07/2022

Conditions

Rail – 8m
Track – Heavy 8
Forecast – Max 16 degrees, showers

Race 1 – Owner Appreciation Race Day Handicap – 2100m – 11:09pm

5 – Black Fantasy
4 – Reliable Star
1 – Black Shadow
6 – Majinika

Race 2 – Ngawyni Stakes – 1000m – 11:44am

2 – Wilchino
3 – Spin The Knife
1 – Mervyn
4 – Eeyore Wayz

Race 3 – Glenn Lee’s 60th Birthday Plate – 1300m – 12:19pm

2 – Kelvinater
8 – Exporose
4 – It’s All A Rumour
5 – Bird’s The Word

Race 4 – TABtouch Westspeed Platinum Handicap – 1600m – 12:58pm

3 – Prize Pursuit
1 – Arnie’s Boy
11 – Ninetyone Dwyer
5 – Classic Rogue

Race 5 – Free Entry To Belmont Park Handicap – 2100m – 1:38pm

10 – Flower In The Wind
7 – Red Hot Hope
2 – Sunsphere
6 – Crezee

Race 6 – TABtouch – Better Your Bet Handicap – 1200m – 2:18pm

1 – Mood Swings
2 – Nowhiteflag
5 – Position Of Power
4 – Vane Tempest

Race 7 – Amelia Park Handicap – 1200m – 2:55pm

9 – What A Prince
2 – Let’s Galahvant
4 – Thomas Magnum
8 – Strathmore Rose

Race 8 – Crown Perth Handicap – 1200m – 3:32pm

2 – Ain’t No Other Man
11 – Senorita Dorotea
4 – Probity
8 – Extra Secret

Race 9 – Mumm Champagne Handicap – 1000m – 4:10pm

10 – State Of Power
6 – Ghost Who Walks
9 – Spirited Session
7 – Olga Louisa

Race 10 – Heineken 3 Handicap – 1600m – 4:50pm

1 – Ginger Flyer
12 – The Velvet Queen
2 – Big Screen
4 – Run D’affaire Run


Best Bet

Race 5 – Flower In The Wind

Quaddie

R7: 2, 4, 6, 8, 9
R8: 1, 2, 4, 8, 11
R9: 3, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
R10: 1, 2, 3, 4, 8, 12

Confidence rating

My confidence isn’t the best as I’ve done this a bit on the fly as I’m in Melbourne. The fields look even and the heavy track is going to make for an interesting day. Race 3 and 7 look to be the most even races and I’d avoid betting in race 3 if I was you. In terms of The Velvet Queen, I’m hoping for easier viewing than last time! The track conditions look to suit her but from the wide barrier I’m worried about how far back she’ll get or if she’ll be 3 wide with no cover. Ginger Flyer only has to carry 59kg with Holly’s claim and she’ll get a comfortable spot in running which I think could be the difference.

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