Horse Racing,  Tipping

Belmont 27/06/2020

Sorry everyone, I had some personal things pop up this week, so I didn’t have time to do an in-depth preview. Hopefully, I’ve still tipped a few winners though. I have also included my thoughts on The Velvet King.

Conditions

Rail – 2m
Track – Soft 5
Forecast – Max 21 degrees, showers

Race 1 – Free Entry To Belmont Park Plate – 1000m – 11:58pm

3 – Born To Rule
9 – Madam Torio
6 – Billy Ain’t Silly
2 – Bumper Humper

Race 2 – Ascend Sales Trophies – 1300m – 12:35pm

8 – Windstorm
6 – Fire Maker
7 – Turbo Power
2 – Military Ruler

Race 3 – TabTouch Westspeed Platinum Handicap – 1400m – 1:15pm

2 – Zephyr Queen
3 – Position Of Power
4 – Bruce Almighty
5 – Bartrader

Race 4 – Glenroy Chaff Handicap – 1400m – 1:55pm

5 – Bright Diamond
2 – Levitate
7 – Puckapunyal
3 – Downforce

Race 5 – Hahn Superdry – Strickland Stakes – 2000m – 2:42pm

8 – Mississippi Delta
7 – Perfect Jewel
5 – Taxagano
4 – The Velvet King

The Velvet King isn’t in my top four (before Gatting got scratched), but I do think he can run a good race. The biggest thing that I’m looking for is for him to jump well, because that really has cost him the wins in his past three starts. As we saw in the Kingston Town too (his only run beyond 1600m), if he gets too far back then it’s basically game over. I worry that 2000m is simply too long for him, especially when some of the horses in the field are proven stayers. We won’t know if he’ll handle the distance till we try though and at least he’ll appreciate the rain.

Race 6 – Schweppes Handicap – 1600m – 3:20pm

1 – Sentimental Gift
5 – Sublime Image
2 – Costa Del Santo
6 – Cable Guy

Race 7 – Amelia Park Handicap – 1000m – 3:50pm

5 – Essential Spice
8 – Guns Of Navarone
6 – Saracino
10 – Hoboken

Race 8 – Crown Towers Handicap – 1000m – 4:20pm

8 – Devoted Star
3 – Silknize
9 – Endovanera
6 – Cockyjoy

Race 9 – Vale Ron Nicol Handicap – 2100m – 4:50pm

13 – Celtic Diva
1 – Divine Shadow
4 – Kia Ora Star
3 – Dark Choice


Best Bet

Race 2 – Windstorm

Confidence rating

The lack of time I’ve spent doing the form does make me nervous but then sometimes my best work comes when I don’t overthink things. I’m mostly concerned about races 1, 6 and 9 where I’ve tipped an outsider. I also seem to have tipped either the favourite or a value tip which always makes me nervous as well.

Last Week’s Results

R1 – boxed trifecta
R3 – exacta
R4 – boxed first four
Winners in top 4 – 7/9
Top picks: 3rd (no pay), 1st, 1st, 1st, 2nd, -, 3rd, -, –
Best bet: –
Profit:-9.92

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